Sunday, January 20, 2008

Doing the electoral math

Never mind the headlines about who is winning what races over the course of the primary season.

They're red herrings. What really matters is the math.

There are some interesting things going on when you look at the numbers. The GOP now has a clear front-runner: Mitt Romney. John McCain is a distant second. For the Dems, the numbers are more interesting. Barack Obama is ahead of Hillary Clinton by two delegates. That lead could widen when the Democrats hold their primary in South Carolina on Saturday.

But the really interesting news in the numbers is John Edwards. It's not that he's in third, it's that he presently has the delegates to tip the nomination. I don't think he's necessarily playing to win at this point, he's playing for influence. And if the race stays tight, Edwards may very well determine who becomes the Democratic nominee.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Barrack and Clinton have done each other in. Playing the black card and showing feminine emotions is completely ridiculous and should just automatically dump those two canidates. Moving onto Edwards, he is just an uninspiring choice. Two America's? We all realize that there are difference but for a canidate to openly state that is simply beyond point.

I am not even going to waste time on the other side, but here are some simplistic thoughts. Huckabee, he doesn't know which way to swing. McCain is old, I realize that almost all of our presidents are/were old, but that should be point enough. Leaving Romney, smarmy used car sales man.

Anonymous said...

John Edwards was actually refreshing in the debate with Clinton and Obama last night, in part because he never hit below the belt as did both frontrunners. Perhaps he is aiming for a second run as the vice presidential nominee. Still, the Dem duo with the best qualifications would be Clinton and Richardson, in either order — but that probably won't happen.